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4/22/2019 7:48 pm  #1


So, the Dems can't decide on whether to go for impeachment or hold off

https://www.nytimes.com/2019/04/22/us/politics/impeaching-trump-pelosi.html

Pelosi Cautions on Impeachment as She Denounces Trump’s Ethics


Speaker Nancy Pelosi said in a letter to colleagues that it was clear Mr. Trump had “engaged in highly unethical and unscrupulous behavior which does not bring honor to the office he holds.”


Credit  Erin Schaff/ The New York Times

By Nicholas Fandos
April 22, 2019

WASHINGTON — Speaker Nancy Pelosi, acknowledging that the Democrats are divided over new findings from Robert S. Mueller III, appeared to urge her caucus to hold off impeaching President Trump for now, even as she denounced his “highly unethical and unscrupulous behavior,” which she said “does not bring honor to the office he holds.”


 In her first extended comments since the release of the special counsel’s report last week, Ms. Pelosi counseled caution to Democrats as she tested for cracks among Republicans. In a letter to colleagues, she said, “Congressional Republicans have an unlimited appetite for” the “low standards” set by President Trump.


 “The G.O.P. should be ashamed of what the Mueller report has revealed, instead of giving the president their blessings,” she wrote.


 But she also urged Democrats not to put a specific punishment — namely impeachment — ahead of lining up the facts in the coming weeks in hearings and a potential legal fight over access to the special counsel’s investigative files. Underscoring the alternative avenues, the Democratic-led House Judiciary Committee announced Monday afternoon that it had issued a subpoena to compel Donald F. McGahn II, the former White House counsel, to appear at a public hearing in late May. Mr. McGahn emerged as a key witness for Mr. Mueller’s investigation.


“While our views range from proceeding to investigate the findings of the Mueller report or proceeding directly to impeachment, we all firmly agree that we should proceed down a path of finding the truth,” Ms. Pelosi wrote. “It is also important to know that the facts regarding holding the president accountable can be gained outside of impeachment hearings.”

 “As we proceed to uncover the truth and present additional needed reforms to protect our democracy,” she continued, “we must show the American people we are proceeding free from passion or prejudice, strictly on the presentation of fact.” She vowed to “scrupulously assert Congress’ constitutional duty to honor our oath of office to support and defend the Constitution and our democracy.” But she implied that duty could be fulfilled through oversight short of impeachment.

 Ms. Pelosi’s letter arrived a few hours before House Democrats are set to convene by conference call for the first time since the release of Mr. Mueller’s report last Thursday. With lawmakers scattered around the country for their spring recess — Ms. Pelosi spent last week overseas — the call will provide Democrats with a chance to begin to hash out differences over what comes next. They are also likely to discuss how to handle upcoming hearings with Attorney General William P. Barr, who will testify before both the House and Senate next week, and Mr. Mueller, whom Democrats have asked to testify.


 Several prominent Democrats — including Representatives Maxine Waters of California and Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez of New York — have vocally endorsed the idea of initiating impeachment proceedings in recent days. They argue that the House would legitimize Mr. Trump’s behavior by taking a pass on punishing him, and abdicate its duty to uphold constitutional norms. Mr. Mueller’s report documented in vivid detail about a dozen episodes in which Mr. Trump sought to beat back the investigation into Russian election interference to protect himself and his associates, including attempts to fire the special counsel and other Justice Department officials who could influence the case. But Mr. Mueller declined to indict the president or recommend impeachment because he said legal and factual constraints prevented him from reaching a traditional judgment about whether Mr. Trump’s actions amounted to obstruction of justice.

 Instead, he nodded to Congress’s ability to judge for itself.

 House leaders and their allies, including Representative Jerrold Nadler of New York, the chairman of the Judiciary Committee, have taken a more cautious approach. Without at least some bipartisan support, they have insisted, impeaching Mr. Trump simply may not be worth it, especially with the Republican-controlled Senate unlikely to convict and remove him from office.

 Senator Mitch McConnell of Kentucky, the majority leader, bolstered that assessment Monday afternoon.

 “Well, look, I think it’s time to move on,” Mr. McConnell told reporters after an event in Owensboro, Ky. “This investigation was about collusion — there’s no collusion, no charges brought against the president on anything else. And I think the American people have had quite enough of it.”

 In the meantime, House Democrats have tried to keep pressure on the Justice Department to hand over an unredacted copy of the more than 440-page Mueller report and all the evidence underlying it. Mr. Nadler issued a subpoena for those documents on Friday and party leaders have consistently argued that whatever path they proceed on, Congress is entitled to all relevant material to make judgments.

 The Justice Department offered last week to make a fuller version of the report available to House leaders — an offer Democrats rejected as too narrow — but says that it cannot legally share secretive grand jury information. 

Mr. Trump, for his part, insisted on Monday there were no grounds to impeach him. Trumpeting Mr. Mueller’s conclusion that his campaign had not conspired with Russia to undermine the 2016 election and obscuring his more complicated assessment of whether the president obstructed justice, he said again that he had committed no crime.


 
Mr. Trump’s statements of exoneration might affect the politics of a potential impeachment, firming up Republican opposition to the idea. But nothing in the Constitution says a crime must have occurred to warrant impeachment. Rather, it is up to any given Congress to determine what constitutes a high crime and misdemeanor, and in the past noncriminal acts have been so defined.


 

 

4/22/2019 10:11 pm  #2


Re: So, the Dems can't decide on whether to go for impeachment or hold off

There is another avenue, and Mueller opened the door wide. 
25th Amendment.
Mental impairment, and a chronic, habitual, pathological liar is seriously mentally impaired. If not for his staff...  McGahn for example, saved him from walking in the exact same footsteps Nixon took. Mueller documents no fewer than nine occasions when aids disobeyed Trump and didn't follow through with implementation of orders they knew were criminal and illegal. If it can be determined Trump knew they were crimes, and the way he went around skirting them supports that, then they have grounds to remove him from office. 

Pelosi doesn't want a repeat of what happened with Clinton. Impeachment without Senate trial and conviction. McConnell's Senate blocks. Voters may take care of it in 2020. If not, then they can consider removal then, just like what happened with Nixon. 

Any way cut, Trump is damaging America. But not as much as he damaged the GOP. 

 


You can look away from a painting, but you can't listen away from a symphony
 

4/23/2019 1:39 am  #3


Re: So, the Dems can't decide on whether to go for impeachment or hold off

I fully understand why Pelosi and others are so hesitant to rush forward with impeachment.  The potential for it to blow up in their faces and result in a backlash of support for tRUMP is HUGE.

Unlike Nixon, tRUMP hasn't an ounce of shame and he'll stand up there and INSIST he's innocent even if the world SAW him commit a crime.  That's who he is.  Most folks aren't accustomed to such audacity and those who don't realize that he is mentally impaired and ethically challenged, likely presume that no sane person would do that if they were guilty, so believe him.  Others simply want to believe him. 

His poll rating has plummeted to 37% approval, amongst the lowest he's "enjoyed", but still pretty damn high for someone SO horribly unfit for office.

I wonder if this country hasn't just put itself in a position of taking sides and forgetting all about facts, evidence, truth, and justice to where it's all a matter of what SIDE one is on how they view him ??

 

     Thread Starter
 

4/23/2019 10:24 am  #4


Re: So, the Dems can't decide on whether to go for impeachment or hold off

The Democrats need to consider their context and act accordingly.
They absolutely need to impeach. However, they need to be smart about it. They need to remove all the political venom from the process. They need to NOT make it about the effort to remove Trump from office and instead, make it about the effort to preserve the power of Congress to perform its duties of oversight and the need of Congress to act in the void created by the (stupid) DoJ policy against indicting a sitting president.

Don't have weeks of hearings designed to drag the president through the mud. Have a simple proceeding. Gather the evidence, lay it out, package it in terms of acting in the best interests of the nation, and send it to the Senate. Recommend to Senate Democrats to NOT prolong the process. This is a simple test for Republicans. Will they act in the best interests of the country, or will they allow party to trump those interests? No need to wallow in it. No need to inflame the partisan divide. Just do the damned job.

Do it, and move on. We can pretty much guess the outcome, so don't dance around it and waste time/money. But absolutely make the Republicans own it. If you don't, then the Democrats will own the erosion of the power of Congress and the growth of corruption.

Just do the damned job you were sent up there to do, whether or not the Republicans will do their job.

Amadeus


 

4/23/2019 9:43 pm  #5


Re: So, the Dems can't decide on whether to go for impeachment or hold off

It may not be possible to pursue impeachment without MAJOR DRAMA.  tRUMP will NEVER behave like a normal person.  He'll go ballistic and continue the drama with tweets, off the cuff remarks, interviews, and so on.

Many Republicans will do the same thing. 

I think it is imperative that the Dems push for more information and keep tRUMP's feet to the fire so that Americans don't think that tRUMP was actually exonerated.  That he was NOT is important to keep in the headlines.

 

     Thread Starter
 

4/24/2019 12:15 am  #6


Re: So, the Dems can't decide on whether to go for impeachment or hold off

Pelosi is right. Impeachment is likely to backfire because the McConnell Senate won't try and convict. McConnell might not even allow it to be heard. if he can. Pursuit of the matter may make a martyr of Trump like it did Clinton, who achieved his greatest popularity and best work afterward. Even though Mueller has more "goods" on Trump than Jaworski had on Nixon, combination of the McConnell-Trump group will never accept any finding or investigation of Trump. 
Trump is a lame duck anyway. Let him stew, fester, and become more unhinged. Nobody important is listening to him. He's now a documented, confirmed, chronic, habitual, pathological liar. At the WH Easter egg roll, he talked to children about his wall. First off, that's grossly inappropriate. Trump lied about what one little boy told him. 

"This young kid just said keep building the wall, can you believe that?" the president told reporters, adding: "He's going to be a conservative someday."

No child would say something like that. But Trump did. 
 


You can look away from a painting, but you can't listen away from a symphony
 

4/24/2019 1:18 am  #7


Re: So, the Dems can't decide on whether to go for impeachment or hold off

Absolutely NO CHILD would say something like that.  Not unless he cultivated the answer that he wanted by coercing the child into saying "yes" and twisted it all around to be the CHILD volunteering something NO CHILD would ever think of saying or even want to talk about.

McConnell might do exactly that and turn the tables on the Dems by declaring that there's "nothing to see" in the report and refusing to even allow it to be heard.

McConnell is THE ABSOLUTE WORST senator imaginable.  The damage he's caused this country and the separation of powers as well as the raw ABUSE of power he's displayed is unbelievable.  Now it has become NORMAL to behave in lawless and unethical ways and be damned proud of it.

 

     Thread Starter
 

4/24/2019 8:39 am  #8


Re: So, the Dems can't decide on whether to go for impeachment or hold off

I've seen the Democratic strategy laid out that says the best way forward is to impeach Trump without impeaching him. In other words, don't open official impeachment proceedings, but do everything you would otherwise do - hold the hearings, drag him through the mud, make it clear just how criminal he is, but let him stay in office.

Then, leave the Republicans saddled with him as their candidate, and let him poison the party ticket all the way to the ground.

Burn the Republican Party and salt the earth afterward.

I'll admit, the plan has merit. It could work. It also has plausible deniability built in. Democrats can lean on the operative fact that they can't accomplish the impeachment without Senate Republicans, so why officially launch it? Democrats can frame that to make themselves look like they are hamstrung by a bad-faith partner in the Republican Party in general, reinforcing the message when 2020 comes.

What I don't like about it is that it uses the dysfunction in our government and further stresses it, rather than highlighting that dysfunction and demanding a return to the norms and rules.

Is it worth getting what you want if it further stresses and possibly breaks the system down even more?

Amadeus


 

4/24/2019 10:08 am  #9


Re: So, the Dems can't decide on whether to go for impeachment or hold off

The Democrat method is also by design, that "slowing down" of a poorly thought "rush." Trump is full of poorly thought rushes. His six major bankruptcies are evidence of a lifelong plague of hasty, poorly thought rushes that didn't pan out. 

My favorite are the 48 giant, gold, peeing statuettes destined for the Taj Mahal casino, sold among other items at the short sale, emerging from bankruptcy in Feb 2016. Bought by Carl Icahn. I think those would make great and amusing portal decorations at ports of entry on the southern border. 

We tend to complain about the impasse of gridlock, and yet it appears gridlock is an intentional design by the Constitutional framers, to slow bad ideas down so everything that can be known about them becomes general public knowledge. The latest target of revelational slowdown is Trump himself, and Congress appears intent on making everything possible known about this man. Through their gridlock, we will really see who and what Trump is, as if we don't already. 

We also don't have to impeach a leader like this. We don't have to remove him from office. He can remain in office and be virtually ineffective in anything and everything. In a way, seeing Trump bound up like that may be harder and worse on him than anything. He's like a spider's cocooned insect, set aside for a later meal when things might be lean. 

 


You can look away from a painting, but you can't listen away from a symphony
 

4/24/2019 2:04 pm  #10


Re: So, the Dems can't decide on whether to go for impeachment or hold off

I disagree with you somewhat on that. I think the framers didn't explicitly seek gridlock. They didn't foresee it as a virtue. That gridlock is the natural product of a system of government and a base charter that is over 200 years old. We venerated it without learning from it.

We are always so eager to water the tree of liberty with the blood of tyrants and so reluctant to fertilize it with the lessons learned from previous iterations of government. And now, who could imagine a constitutional convention?

You have Democrats who represent the current crowd of people seeking to operate within the rules and by the rules and Republicans who are abusing power, breaking norms, looking for every inch of give in the letter of the law before seeing how many times they can cross the line and whether or not they can gain control of the agencies designated to enforce those rules so as to let them off without so much as a whisper of condemnation.

I wouldn't want to try to work with Republicans to formulate a charter in this kind of an environment. And it is only by dint of chance that it isn't Democrats we are talking about. It is a matter of who was in power, who wasn't, and decisions made about how to cobble a base together to challenge for power. After that, the dominoes fell rather deterministically.

It chafes at me that Trump remains in office. He is doing damage. We can limit that damage, somewhat, but the very fact that we do not remove him from office damages the separation and equality of powers.

McConnell. He should be vilified in history books as the man who single-handedly destroyed the US system of government.

Amadeus


 

4/24/2019 2:39 pm  #11


Re: So, the Dems can't decide on whether to go for impeachment or hold off

Pence is Trump's insurance policy, just as Agnew was Nixon's. 

I believe the "slowing down" to think and be rational was intentional. Partisan bickering slowed it more, and worst is the Xistian right who because they believe they act in the Name and will of God, won't compromise. They are responsible for the impassable gridlock. 

We're in a "lesser damage" mode. We will be damaged from any of it. Dilemma is what is the lesser damage? Impeachment, or retention but stript of credibility and hobbled with oversight? Clinton was part of that. As a choice, she wasn't the better candidate, but the lesser of two evils. 

 


You can look away from a painting, but you can't listen away from a symphony
 

5/05/2019 11:11 pm  #12


Re: So, the Dems can't decide on whether to go for impeachment or hold off

Amadeus wrote:

I've seen the Democratic strategy laid out that says the best way forward is to impeach Trump without impeaching him. In other words, don't open official impeachment proceedings, but do everything you would otherwise do - hold the hearings, drag him through the mud, make it clear just how criminal he is, but let him stay in office.

Then, leave the Republicans saddled with him as their candidate, and let him poison the party ticket all the way to the ground.

Burn the Republican Party and salt the earth afterward.

I'll admit, the plan has merit. It could work. It also has plausible deniability built in. Democrats can lean on the operative fact that they can't accomplish the impeachment without Senate Republicans, so why officially launch it? Democrats can frame that to make themselves look like they are hamstrung by a bad-faith partner in the Republican Party in general, reinforcing the message when 2020 comes.

What I don't like about it is that it uses the dysfunction in our government and further stresses it, rather than highlighting that dysfunction and demanding a return to the norms and rules.

Is it worth getting what you want if it further stresses and possibly breaks the system down even more?

Amadeus

===============================

Sometimes, there's really no other option than to further stress and even BREAK the system if the system is already so broken that it cannot be fixed.  No side can afford to allow the opposition side to use the flawed system to get their way while they take the high road and watch the opposition gain more and more power to walk all over them.

Sometimes, it's just necessary to light a match and let it all burn down, forcing both sides to work TOGETHER to rebuild it and remove the giant holes in the system that one side has been taking advantage of.

tRUMP is so nuts and so willing to burn down the entire country that the Dems had better do SOMETHING to stop him.

 

     Thread Starter
 

5/05/2019 11:33 pm  #13


Re: So, the Dems can't decide on whether to go for impeachment or hold off

Pikes Peak 14115 wrote:

We also don't have to impeach a leader like this. We don't have to remove him from office. He can remain in office and be virtually ineffective in anything and everything. In a way, seeing Trump bound up like that may be harder and worse on him than anything. He's like a spider's cocooned insect, set aside for a later meal when things might be lean. 
 

================================

ROFLMAO... I love it.  That's a great idea.
 

     Thread Starter
 

5/05/2019 11:36 pm  #14


Re: So, the Dems can't decide on whether to go for impeachment or hold off

Amadeus wrote:

McConnell. He should be vilified in history books as the man who single-handedly destroyed the US system of government.

Amadeus

==========================

I hope the hell that McConnell winds up booted OUT of office in his next election and that, forevermore, his name is as evil as Benedict Arnold's.

     Thread Starter
 

5/06/2019 9:15 am  #15


Re: So, the Dems can't decide on whether to go for impeachment or hold off

No hurry. They have six years.

 

5/06/2019 11:18 am  #16


Re: So, the Dems can't decide on whether to go for impeachment or hold off

SES wrote:

No hurry. They have six years.

Heh Heh




 

     Thread Starter
 

5/06/2019 6:28 pm  #17


Re: So, the Dems can't decide on whether to go for impeachment or hold off

SES wrote:

No hurry. They have six years.

2018 was like 1974. Remember? Remember why? 
2020 will be like 1976. Remember? Remember why?

Reagan nearly kicked the chair out from under Ford's ass for the GOP nomination. Ford barely won, because he was the incumbent, and lost to Carter. Remember?

The GOP took a huge hit. Only by ineptitude of Carter by appointment of too many bad people in cabinet and first flex of OPEC that hit us bad in the gas tank, triggering double digit inflation, did the GOP get a new chance with Reagan. 

However Reagan started a new trend- big debt and increasing deficit. Republican majority occupancy in leadership and representation made that worse with every presidency since. Only Clinton was able to bring it back, mandated by the legislature because debt and deficit wasn't too big yet. 

W promptly gave away the surplus in the famous "rebate." Then spent until a $12 trillion debt with $1 trillion deficit was left for the next man. Obama had to spend heavily in 2009, to stop the recession from becoming a full blown depression. Then, from 2010 until now, thanks to Stimulus which provided just enough money to turn it around, most of the economy recovered. However Obama added $7 trillion in new debt, even though every year he cut spending and reduced the deficit from $1 trillion to about $300 billion. Congress added Obama-cuts back into the spending cycle.

So where are we today?
Debt $22.28 trillion and growing
Deficit $.952 trillion and growing
Trump spending 148% above Obama. 
GDP growth during the period, 1.874%.
Republicans revel in the last quarter GDP increase of 3.2%. 
GDP during Obama increased more than that in six separate quarters, the highest at 5%. 

 


You can look away from a painting, but you can't listen away from a symphony
 

5/07/2019 5:11 pm  #18


Re: So, the Dems can't decide on whether to go for impeachment or hold off

SES,

If ALL voters cared about was the economy, then WHY are tRUMP's poll numbers constantly still in the toilet ??  Normally, with things going "so well", the residing POTUS would be enjoying VERY HIGH poll numbers...

     Thread Starter
 

5/08/2019 7:38 am  #19


Re: So, the Dems can't decide on whether to go for impeachment or hold off

Very much to read, but I think Trump supporters just don't care and so, Trump doesn't care,  "...you knew I was a snake when you took me in.... remains the single truth (spoken by Trump)  which matters to Trump supporters.

I wonder how voters, nationwide,  feel about McConnel being THEIR senator.

 

5/08/2019 7:41 am  #20


Re: So, the Dems can't decide on whether to go for impeachment or hold off

Impeachment?  Of course, Trump should be impeached, but that won't change the national mood and attitudes the put him in office.

 

5/08/2019 8:50 am  #21


Re: So, the Dems can't decide on whether to go for impeachment or hold off

Sia - To what do I attribute President Trump's only modestly good approval rating?

A significant number of Americans STILL THINK that the Trump campaign colluded with the Russians.

A significant number of Americans STILL THINK that the Russians actually flipped the election for Trump.

A significant number of Americans STILL THINK that the booming economy is only benefiting the rich (see Bernie Sanders comment that the historically low unemployment isn't benefiting "ordinary people").

A significant number of Americans STILL THUNK that the Trump Tax Cuts primarily helped the rich, which goes counter to ALL of the statistics.

So, I think Trump's only reasonably good approval rating is due to the media-induced ignorance of a significant number of Americans.

 

5/08/2019 3:09 pm  #22


Re: So, the Dems can't decide on whether to go for impeachment or hold off

SES wrote:

Sia - To what do I attribute President Trump's only modestly good approval rating?

A significant number of Americans STILL THINK that the Trump campaign colluded with the Russians.

A significant number of Americans STILL THINK that the Russians actually flipped the election for Trump.

A significant number of Americans STILL THINK that the booming economy is only benefiting the rich (see Bernie Sanders comment that the historically low unemployment isn't benefiting "ordinary people").

A significant number of Americans STILL THUNK that the Trump Tax Cuts primarily helped the rich, which goes counter to ALL of the statistics.

So, I think Trump's only reasonably good approval rating is due to the media-induced ignorance of a significant number of Americans.

===========================

Well, obviously, I DO believe that tRUMP did collude with the Russians and did everything possible to obstruct justice.  The Mueller report spells it out clearly and strongly suggests that it is congress's job to pursue charges/impeachment for that because he, Mueller, could not recommend indictment.

I think that the Russians CLEARLY helped tRUMP get elected but I would not go so far as to say that they flipped the election directly.  They DID, however, influence voters via Facebook and the timed releases of dirt against Hillary.  Every time something terrible for tRUMP came out in the news, Wikileaks released something to take attention off of him and onto Hillary or the DNC.  They also assisted in the handful of states that gave him the win.  However, Hillary's FAILURE to offset THAT assistance is all on her as a terrible, entitled candidate who failed to work for those votes. 

As for the tax cuts, well, it's a fact that the BULK of the tax benefits went to the ultra rich, including tRUMP himself.  SOME Americans were helped in the overall.  But they are predominantly the folks who didn't use the major deductions that are now lost to middle America. Homeowners were hit the hardest because of the limits to property tax deductions and the loss of many other deductions they routinely used.  LOTS of folks had to pay and feel as if the whole tax cut hoopla was more money each week that they lost entirely, plus more, when April 15th came along.  Fact is, the tax cuts for us little people END but the benefits for the ultra rich are permanent.

Also, his numbers only briefly dropped 3 points after the Mueller report was first issued, but they are back up to earlier levels.  A few polls even show a gain now.  So, those things really are NOT why his numbers are so low.  In fact, I've seen dozens of polls over a few months that show that very little about the Mueller investigations are influencing Independent voters in the middle who have consistently rejected tRUMP.  So, claiming it's the Russian investigation is disingenuous because it's simply not true.

Most Americans can't stand him and consider him immoral and vulgar.  Always well above 50% disapprove of him. That's remained constant throughout his time in office.  Women disliking him is the usual reason given for his consistently low polls numbers.  The gender gap for him (14%)  is the widest gap for any modern POTUS.  Only 29% of women, an average of all age groups and political parties approve of him.  The previous low in modern history was Bill Clinton at 48%.  THAT'S HUGE.  Women ARE tRUMP's Achilles heel.

An aside:
Keep one thing in mind as far as the reliability of polls.  The Rasmussen Polls are the least reliable polls overall.  They've historically been as much as 5.89 points off from nearly all other reputable polls.  They lean heavily Republican and only include what they perceive as "likely voters" rather than ALL adults with the right to vote.  Polls are only as good as their methodology and the demographics included.  They also tend to exclude "cell phone" voters, who are the fastest growing group.

I've been called by Rasmussen more often than any other pollster (NH primary season predominantly).  Their questions SEEMED skewed to me to elicit desired responses.  I've been called by so many pollsters that I can recognize skewing a mile away.  (Usually "no name" pollsters do that, which is why it's so bizarre that Rasmussen does)

FiveThirtyEight averages current polls to get a weighted average rating and is probably the most reasonable measure since they take into account ALL of the major polls.

---------------------
From Wikipedia:

In 2010, Nate Silver[/url] of [url=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/The_New_York_Times]The New York Times[/url]’ blog [url=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/FiveThirtyEight]FiveThirtyEight wrote the article "Is Rasmussen Reports biased?", in which he mostly defended Rasmussen from allegations of bias.  However, later in the year, Rasmussen's polling results diverged notably from other mainstream pollsters, which Silver labeled a "house effect."  He went on to explore other factors which may have explained the effect such as the use of a likely voter model,  and claimed that Rasmussen conducted its polls in a way that excluded the majority of the population from answering.

 After the [url=https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/United_States_elections,_2010]2010 midterm elections[/url], Silver concluded that Rasmussen's polls were the least accurate of the major pollsters in 2010, having an average error of 5.8 points and a pro-Republican bias of 3.9 points according to Silver's model. FiveThirtyEight currently rates Rasmussen Reports with a C+ grade and notes a simple average error of 5.3 percent across 657 polls analyzed. 

Jonathan Chait of the New Republic said that Rasmussen is perceived in the "conservative world" as "the gold standard" and suggested the polling company asks the questions specifically to show public support for the conservative position. They cited an example when Rasmussen asked "Should the government set limits on how much salt Americans can eat?" when the issue was whether to limit the amount of salt in pre-processed food.-------------------------

Right now, tRUMP's poll numbers are higher than usual  at 42%, so OBVIOUSLY, the Mueller Report hasn't hurt him overall.  FiveThirtyEight averages out multiple polls to come to an "average".


https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/trump-approval-ratings/




 

     Thread Starter
 

5/08/2019 3:12 pm  #23


Re: So, the Dems can't decide on whether to go for impeachment or hold off

donk wrote:

Very much to read, but I think Trump supporters just don't care and so, Trump doesn't care,  "...you knew I was a snake when you took me in.... remains the single truth (spoken by Trump)  which matters to Trump supporters.

I wonder how voters, nationwide,  feel about McConnel being THEIR senator.

===================

Hey Donk, delighted to see you participating.  Glad you figured it out !!

I agree on the "You knew I was a snake" quote.  It's true.  tRUMP voters, by and large, DO know that he was a snake when they voted for him but they considered Hillary to be a devil, so MOST chose their view of the "lesser of two evils".  Why they STILL don't care boggles my mind...

 

     Thread Starter
 

5/09/2019 10:45 am  #24


Re: So, the Dems can't decide on whether to go for impeachment or hold off

I agree 100% that the vast majority of us who voted for Trump knew that he was a "snake".

He's rude and crude, he exaggerates, he has an annoying way of speaking, and much more.

And we KNEW that. But we also knew that he would be a better President for us than Hillary.

What amazes me about it all is that anyone thinks that we who voted for Trump should now be SHOCKED that he is rude and crude, the he exaggerates, that he has an annoying way of speaking, and much more, after they ACKNOWLEDGE that we voted for him KNOWING that he was rude and crude, that he exaggerates, that he has an annoying way of speaking, and much more.

 

5/09/2019 1:17 pm  #25


Re: So, the Dems can't decide on whether to go for impeachment or hold off

SES wrote:

I agree 100% that the vast majority of us who voted for Trump knew that he was a "snake".

He's rude and crude, he exaggerates, he has an annoying way of speaking, and much more.

And we KNEW that. But we also knew that he would be a better President for us than Hillary.

What amazes me about it all is that anyone thinks that we who voted for Trump should now be SHOCKED that he is rude and crude, the he exaggerates, that he has an annoying way of speaking, and much more, after they ACKNOWLEDGE that we voted for him KNOWING that he was rude and crude, that he exaggerates, that he has an annoying way of speaking, and much more.

Given the choice between Clinton and Trump, it appears the only American future is failure. Question is speed, and led by which? 

Like the age old argument which is deadlier, a cobra or rattlesnake? Answer is which death do you prefer? Poison that shuts down your nervous system, ending with your heart, or poison that destroys your blood and begins digestion of your tissues from the inside out? 

Trump is a better death for us than Hillary? Maybe the best question of all is why after all the sifting, are we left with such choices? The only aspect of Clinton and Trump that resonates in me is like irritation of an infected pimple. I feel no compulsion to nurture it, but instead pop the sucker and get relief and rid of it as soon as possible. 


You can look away from a painting, but you can't listen away from a symphony
 

5/09/2019 1:38 pm  #26


Re: So, the Dems can't decide on whether to go for impeachment or hold off

In my opinion, Trump was an ass, but his policies (most of them) were good. I hated his desire to increase military spending -- I've always thought that the military wastes much of the money it gets, and should be CUT. We no longer need the kind of Military that we needed in World War II, which is what we have.

In my opinion, Hillary was an ass, and her policies were a disaster.

Contrary to what some people continue to insist, I'm one of those who support the President most of the time, but think he's an ass. But if you say you support the President, to THEM, that means that you like every single thing about him.

 

5/10/2019 9:08 am  #27


Re: So, the Dems can't decide on whether to go for impeachment or hold off

I never thought that you like everything about tRUMP.  However, you've gone WAY out of your way to stick up for him NO MATTER WHAT and to deny things that are pretty obvious to most everyone else.

If you were recognizing his major faults and screw ups while claiming that you approve of his overall platform, that is VERY different than denying everything leveled against him.

How can you continue to claim that he did NOT try to obstruct justice when the Mueller report clearly identifies 10 attempts to obstruct, some of which we SAW for ourselves publicly ?? 

That's why many of us say you must love the guy. 

 

     Thread Starter
 

5/10/2019 9:40 am  #28


Re: So, the Dems can't decide on whether to go for impeachment or hold off

When have I ever said that he didn't obstruct?

What I've said is that the whole investigation was a sham, started illegally, and that it would be entrapment to accuse someone of obstructing an investigation that should never have happened in the first place.

The only case of obstruction that I think is anything deals with the infamous "Trump Tower Meeting", where the President had a line deleted that said that the meeting involved "information helpful to the campaign". Bt that's flimsy, since no "information" was ever exchanged.

To me, none of the other "attempts" to obstruct amount to anything. I've read them. Nothing.

 

5/10/2019 11:45 am  #29


Re: So, the Dems can't decide on whether to go for impeachment or hold off

Well, SES, you are in the minority of people who have actually read the report and come to that conclusion. Most who have read the report find it damning of the president in terms of obstruction AND in terms of the campaign's behavior when it came to Russia.

I have seen replays of the Senate Republicans going to town on Clinton during his impeachment and preaching to high heaven that there didn't even need to be a crime for him to be removed from office. Just the mere fact that Clinton might have sullied the office of the president was enough. The office needed cleansing, they said. And look at them now. Some of the same senators remain in office, defending Trump and his behavior.

Ugh. Trump's administration has done so much damage to our government and our country that we'll be cleaning up the mess for decades. Trump doesn't have policies. He has sycophants who use him and try to get their policies in his mouth and on his twitter. And we will pay the price.

Amadeus


 

5/10/2019 12:25 pm  #30


Re: So, the Dems can't decide on whether to go for impeachment or hold off

Source: Mueller Report, Volume II, Executive Summary:

1. The Campaign's response to reports about Russian support for Trump - NOT OBSTRUCTION

2. Firing of Flynn - FIRED FOR VALID REASONS, NOT TO OBSTRUCT

3. Asking Comey to go easy on Flynn - NOT OBSTRUCTION

4. The President's reaction to the continuing Russia investigation - NOT OBSTRUCTION

5. The President's firing of Comey - FIRED FOR VALID REASONS, NOT TO OBSTRUCT

6. Efforts to remove the Special Counsel - THE PRESIDENT SUGGESTED IT, BUT WAS CONVINCED BY STAFF NOT TO DO IT, NEVER DID IT, NOT OBSTRUCTION

7. Efforts to curtail the Special Counsel's investigation - THE PRESIDENT WANTED THE AG TO DECLARE THAT THE PRESIDENT HAD DONE NOTHING WRONG (HE HADN'T), IT WAS NEVER DONE, NOT OBSTRUCTION

8. Efforts to prevent public disclosure of evidence - RELATING TO THE "TRUMP TOWER MEETING", THE PRESIDENT'S EFFORTS WERE ONLY RELATED TO PUBLIC DISCLOSURE, NOT TO ANYTHING THAT WOULD BE OR HAD BEEN LEARNED BY THE SPECIAL COUNSEL, NOT OBSTRUCTION

9. Further efforts to have AG Sessions take control of the investigation - THE PRESIDENT SAID THAT HE TOLD SESSIONS THAT HE WAS NOT GOING TO DO ANYTHING OR DIRECT HIM TO DO ANYTHING. NOT OBSTRUCTION

10. Efforts to have McGahn deny that the President had ordered him to have the Special Counsel removed - REFERS BACK TO #6. NOTHING EVER CAME OF IT. NOT OBSTRUCTION.

11. Conduct towards Flynn, Manafort, [redacted] - NOT OBSTRUCTION

12. Conduct involving Michael Cohen - NOT OBSTRUCTION

The President said and suggested and directed a lot of things, most of which never actually happened. He took actions, such as firings, for valid reasons, not in order to obstruct, even if those actions could have had that effect. Other actions were intended strictly to protect his own "ego" and "image", not to obstruct the investigation.

Added to that you have all of the ways that the Trump Administration cooperated with the investigation.

There's a whole lot of nothing there.

 

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